My thoughts on this market in 2026$BTC $ETH $SOL

Currently, besides retail investors and some whales shorting, there are some institutions accumulating positions. This is also why the 2800 level of Bitcoin hasn't been broken down for a long time; the only goal is to shake out retail investors and pick up cheap chips. Gold, silver, and other heavy metals are skyrocketing, similar to climbing a ladder to heaven. The daily chart shows a very strong ascent, but it won't last long. A bottleneck will inevitably form. Once in this bottleneck, large funds will flow into the stock market, cryptocurrency, and other markets. Once injected, liquidity will immediately recover. This is also why I am holding 40% of my positions. I am waiting for the big bull in 2026. Institutional funds must keep flowing; they can't wait. They will definitely choose a track.

Regarding timing, some brothers have reminded us that something might happen around February 5th. We still need to be cautious. Regardless of long or short positions, the weekly upward structure of Bitcoin hasn't been broken, meaning long positions at the lows are still my top priority. This is also the liquidity we've been waiting for. Currently, liquidity is poor, which simply means fewer players. When buying at times of little interest, every moment is an opportunity to make retail investors lose hope. This is where opportunity and risk coexist, and it’s also what institutions want—to shake out retail investors' chips. Conversely, if prices rise suddenly and you don’t hold chips, that would be the worst. Spot prices haven't hit liquidation levels, and many quality altcoins, except for some outliers, are at relatively low points.

AI predicts that the current stage is a shakeout phase, mainly to clear out heavy positions and high-leverage retail investors. Also, many exchanges offering high leverage aim to increase retail gambling tendencies, creating a market that previously shook out most retail chips. So, during this period, we must strictly manage our positions, focusing on short-term and long-term strategies.

Regarding operations: for high short positions, we should consider the daily and 4-hour levels for potential selling pressure. But be cautious with short positions; this market might be giving a false impression. Long positions are also necessary—keep positions light. The most important thing is the location, not the direction. When resistance levels are reached, consider shorting; when support levels are hit, consider going long. This is a difficult stage for retail investors, but many swing trading strategies, including AI quant strategies, are quite refined. Profits can be substantial.

Market predictions may be mistaken; this is just my personal humble opinion.