2026-01-07 19:35:01

Institutional price targets for BTC by end of 2026—quite the spread we're seeing here. Tom Lee sits at the bullish extreme with $450,000, while Vanguard's more conservative at $225,000. The middle ground clusters around $300k-$375k: Cathy Wood at $300k, BlackRock at $325k, and Fidelity pushing $375k.

What's interesting is where the consensus leans. Grayscale, CoinShares, and Marathon Digital peg their outlooks between $185k and $250k—notably more cautious than the mega-cap players. The range itself tells you something: from $185k to $450k is a massive variance, reflecting genuine uncertainty about macro conditions, adoption rates, and regulatory landscape over the next two years.

Clearly no two shops agree on the trajectory. Worth asking—what assumptions is each one baking in? Macro tailwinds? Institutional adoption curves? We'll have plenty of time to watch how these forecasts age.

BTC0.21%

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SnapshotBot

· 6h ago

This level of prediction dispersion is really impressive, spanning from 185k to 450k, which means anyone can claim they're right. Speaking of which, Tom Lee's idea of 450k is really bold, but Vanguard's conservative stance is also a bit funny... It's hilarious how these big institutions clash with each other. Ultimately, it still depends on how the macro environment unfolds in the future; two years is enough time for many variables to change.

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WhaleWatcher

· 7h ago

450,000 and 185,000, the gap is really outrageous... Is Tom Lee serious? Institutions each say their own thing, who the hell is really right? Look at Blackstone's 375k, Grayscale's only 185k, both are institutional players, why are their opinions so different? 2026 is too far away; by then, these predictions will either be laughable or will get slapped in the face. The 300,000 to 370,000 range looks comfortable; I’m betting on this zone. How will macro trends go, how will regulations be handled, who can say for sure... Just observe and see. Is Tom Lee's 450k a dream or is there really something there? It feels too outrageous. Such a large fluctuation range indicates what... No one really knows.

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TrustMeBro

· 01-07 23:04

Haha, Tom Lee really dares to say that $450k, huh? It feels a bit outrageous... But anyway, these targets are all guesses, and they might all be proven wrong in the end. --- The price difference is just too huge, from $185k to $450k... It seems no one really knows what will happen in 2026. Basically, it's a gamble. --- Vanguard's $225k is a bit too conservative, right? Are these big institutions really clueless or just trying to play it safe? --- The predictions from BlackRock and Fidelity are not far apart. It seems that professional institutions share a similar consensus. --- Each company's assumptions are definitely different—some are optimistic about adoption, others are worried about regulation... Anyway, two years is a long enough time.

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FreeRider

· 01-07 20:05

45万还是18.5万，差不多快2.5倍了，这预测也忒离谱。 --- Tom Lee那哥们是不是又high了，天天喊这么激进的价格。 --- The mid-range price of 300-375k feels the most reliable, and the consistency among major institutions is pretty good. --- Honestly, everyone is just guessing blindly. What will happen next year is completely unpredictable, and these predictions from crypto institutions are just for fun. --- Blackstone 325k, Fidelity 375k, shows the logic of institutions trying to buy the dip. --- The funniest thing is that Grayscale and others are still conservative, when they should actually be optimistic. --- 2026 is still early, all these predictions will be wrong by then. But watching them eat their words is indeed satisfying. --- Target prices more than double, indicating that no one really knows how the next two years will unfold. --- From their predictions, it’s actually clear that even institutions lack confidence.

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PretendingToReadDocs

· 01-07 20:05

450k is really unlikely, Tom Lee is starting to hype again... Still, the figure from Vanguard seems more reliable.

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SnapshotLaborer

· 01-07 20:04

$450,000? Tom Lee really dares to say that. Is this guy again just painting a pie in the sky? --- It seems that these institutional predictions are all over the place. Anyway, no one will be held accountable if they are wrong. --- 185k to 450k, what a gap... One is just a safety net, and the other is the moon. Who the heck knows what will happen in 2026? --- The numbers from BlackRock and Vanguard are so different. Which of these big players' models is more accurate? --- The most ridiculous thing is that these predictions are all based on "assumptions," but no one can predict a true black swan event. --- Let's just wait and see who ends up eating their words. Right now, all bets are just gambling.

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DegenDreamer

· 01-07 19:59

450,000 USD? Tom Lee really dares to think, or has he seen something we can't see... This price range is ridiculously wide, from 185,000 to 450,000. How many shitcoin projects could that support? Institutions each have their own opinions, and no one can be certain.

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BuyHighSellLow

· 01-07 19:54

$450k and $185k are such a big difference? To be honest, these institutions have no confidence at all. Tom Lee is probably trying to monopolize the market. I didn't dare to imagine such a doubling target. The key is whose assumptions will hold up, but honestly, no one really knows what will happen in two years. This price range is enough to make me anxious haha. Let's wait and see who gets proven wrong; in any case, time will tell.

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AirdropFatigue

· 01-07 19:54

Tom Li's 450k is really outrageous, it feels like just to grab attention. As for Blackstone's 325k, it seems the most practical. Wait, who the hell actually got these predictions right... Can Bitcoin really double by 2026? I'm still a bit skeptical. It seems like institutions are all guessing; let's just wait and see in 18 months.

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BearMarketLightning

· 01-07 19:46

185 to 450, the price difference is so outrageous that I don't even know who to trust anymore. It just feels like gambling.

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