2026-01-06 12:24:03

Gold's rally today has sparked widespread discussions about safe-haven assets, but the underlying truth behind this phenomenon is far more valuable than the surface-level safe-haven demand — global capital is moving around, and the cryptocurrency market has naturally become their next hunting ground.

A close look at the Federal Reserve's current actions reveals the story: they talk about easing monetary policy but are nervously watching the soaring unemployment rate. This contradictory stance of "reassuring while donning a life vest" directly exposes how fragile the economic fundamentals are. The rising expectations of rate cuts essentially signal that the market is shouting: the economic outlook isn't very bright. Hot money withdrawing from traditional markets is initially rushing into gold for a bottom-fishing move, but history shows that after gold spikes, these massive funds won't stop there; they will inevitably seek the next high-profit opportunity, and the crypto market, being a lucrative target, is naturally on their radar.

The problem is, this wave of capital isn't exactly "sending aid in times of need"; instead, it secretly carries a scythe. The key indicator this Friday's non-farm payroll data will reveal is the real dividing line — if the data looks good, expectations for rate cuts will cool off instantly, and funds will immediately withdraw from the crypto sector; if the data disappoints, global panic will intensify, and the crypto market is likely to decline along with it. The market is currently at this crossroads — whether it rises or falls, traps are waiting.

Retail investors should be especially cautious during this period:

1. Never go all-in on a single position. Don't overestimate your ability to read the market makers' tactics; there are enough lessons from history.

2. Make sure to leave an observation window for Friday night's non-farm payroll data. The market will fluctuate violently at the moment of data release, and this is the best opportunity to gauge short-term trends.

3. Hold your spot positions steady and do not move; immediately cut positions in futures. Stories of margin calls in extreme conditions happen every day — don't use your principal to test the luck of the "fortunate ones."

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

21 Likes

Reward
21
10
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

just_here_for_vibes

· 01-09 12:14

Here it comes again, every time claiming funds are in the hunting ground, as if I’ve understood everything. --- On the day of the non-farm payroll data, it’s probably going to be another slaughter. --- People holding full positions must be feeling pretty uncomfortable right now haha. --- I agree with cutting contracts; liquidation is really not worth it. --- The Federal Reserve is just acting, one face here, another there. --- Gold rises, crypto rises, I’ve heard this logic too many times. --- Just wait for Friday, then we’ll see who’s really the idiot. --- Holding spot positions steadily is correct, it’s about time to cut the contracts.

View OriginalReply0

GasFeeTears

· 01-09 11:42

Another money-driven trick, basically betting on the non-farm payroll data rhythm. Brothers holding full positions are probably going to have a tough week; don't hold onto contracts stubbornly.

View OriginalReply0

AirdropBuffet

· 01-09 09:12

Damn, here comes another wave of rug pulls. I trusted the gold safe haven, but now the crypto world is the real meat grinder. Brothers holding full positions, wake up quickly. Non-farm payroll day will be deadly. For those still trading contracts, a word of advice: liquidation isn't something to be proud of. I've seen too many. This round of funds, to put it simply, is big fish eating small fish. Retail investors caught in the middle can only take the hit.

View OriginalReply0

0xOverleveraged

· 01-06 12:48

周五非农才是真正的屠宰场，现在满仓的都是来送菜的。 --- 黄金涨这么凶，资金肯定得找下家，咱们币圈就是那块待割的肉，没毛病。 --- 合约爆仓我看得多了，每次都有人说自己这次不一样，最后还是一样。 --- 降息预期起来就该警惕了，这时候冲进去的都是韭菜预备役。 --- 说白了就是庄家在黄金那边吃饱了，现在盯上咱们这块阵地呢。 --- 死抗单真的是绝了，极端行情来一波就全没了，何必呢。 --- 现在就是各种陷阱，涨也是套路跌也是套路，散户真的得夹紧裤腰带。 --- 看好戏还是拿现货老实等，别搞合约那套高杠杆的玩意儿。

Reply0

CoconutWaterBoy

· 01-06 12:48

Non-farm day must be watched closely; this wave is indeed a sickle, not a pie. --- Everyone with a full position should reflect; the lessons from history are truly harsh. --- Contract liquidation is real; stories of margin calls are happening every day. --- The capital flow is very clear; gold is just a transit station. --- Friday is the watershed; it's too early to talk about rise or fall now. --- Don't bet on the direction; I've heard this for ten years, yet some still hold full positions. --- I agree with holding spot positions steadily; contracts must be cut decisively. --- The Federal Reserve's rhetoric indeed has issues; the economic fundamentals are truly fragile.

View OriginalReply0

WagmiWarrior

· 01-06 12:46

Damn, it's the same scythe rhetoric again. We really need to be cautious before the non-farm payrolls. Brothers with full positions, good luck to you. No lessons have been learned from history. That knife on Friday was blatant.

View OriginalReply0

HodlTheDoor

· 01-06 12:44

Oh my, it's the non-farm payroll data again, such a trap, it can wipe out traders every time. Really, brothers with full positions need to tighten up this week, don't get cut by the sickle. Contract leverage is a warning, one explosion and it's certain. Gold rises while the crypto market falls? Opposite? The more I think about this logic, the more confused I get. Basically, it's just betting on non-farm payrolls, I might as well stick to spot trading honestly. I've heard too many theories about capital flow shifts, but in the end, only retail investors get cut.

View OriginalReply0

HodlVeteran

· 01-06 12:41

Bro, this analysis hits the mark. The scythe is indeed sharpening. I was lured into the gold rally back then, only to realize later... As for where the funds are flowing, retail investors should not follow blindly. On Friday's non-farm payroll report, I have to stay in front of the screen, or else I'll suffer another heavy loss.

View OriginalReply0

TokenSleuth

· 01-06 12:35

On non-farm days, it's either making a fortune or getting cut; there's no third option. I bet my USDT can last until next Monday.

View OriginalReply0

Blockchainiac

· 01-06 12:28

The night before non-farm payrolls is always like this, funds are gambling, retail investors are paying the price --- Basically, it's the market makers shaking out positions, and we're just blindly messing around --- Contract traders, really don't be greedy this week, liquidation can happen in an instant --- Gold rises while coins fall, how many times has this show played? And some still believe that rate cuts can save the market --- That data on Friday is like a ticking time bomb, better to cut positions early and sleep peacefully --- Brothers holding full positions, be careful, aren't the lessons from history deep enough? --- Now entering the market to bet on rise or fall is no different from gambling, better to wait for the right moment --- Funds flowing into gold are just the appetizer, the real hunting ground is still ahead

View OriginalReply0