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A recent circulating piece of news has attracted attention: a certain country may have accumulated between 600,000 and 660,000 Bitcoins through unconventional channels. This is not just a simple government purchase of coins; it involves complex financial networks and power structures behind the scenes.
But the quantity itself is not the most critical issue. What truly determines the market trend is who holds the private keys to these coins. It is said that only a few core individuals support this shadow financial system, and the biggest suspense is—whether these private keys have already been transferred to other forces. If so, those Bitcoins may not necessarily be confiscated; instead, they could be frozen for a long time or stored as strategic assets.
Numerically, 600,000 coins account for about 3% of the circulating supply. It doesn't sound like much, but history shows it could have a significant impact. Last year, a major government agency dumped 50,000 Bitcoins, causing the market to drop by 10-20%. Imagine what would happen if these 600,000 coins suddenly entered the market—price volatility would definitely be quite intense.
However, the market seems to be pricing in another possibility: these coins will either be frozen or locked as national reserves, and will not flow into trading markets. Just look at Bitcoin's performance—after a brief correction, it quickly rebounded above $90,000, indicating traders are already digesting this more optimistic expectation—the availability of freely tradable Bitcoins is becoming increasingly scarce.
In the long term, this could also trigger two important effects. First, will more countries officially announce Bitcoin reserve plans? The topic's popularity is likely to rise further. Second, if regime changes involve fluctuations in commodity prices, the global mining cost structure will also adjust accordingly, which could have profound long-term impacts on the entire ecosystem.
Of course, the situation is still in the fermentation stage. Currently, it is mainly industry media and insiders discussing and spreading the news. How it will develop ultimately remains to be seen.