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Recently looked at the market trends and found that the rhythm has completely changed. Bitcoin has retreated from the high of $126,000 and has been ranging between $85,000 and $90,000 for three weeks. Don't think this is a simple technical correction—it's actually large funds quietly rotating. The retail investors who bought in during the Meme coin frenzy last year have now been mostly absorbed by institutions. The Fear & Greed Index has returned to 52, and you can clearly feel the market's craziness fading, as everyone begins to observe calmly.
Where has the money gone? It's particularly interesting. The Meme coins and air blockchain projects that were hot earlier are being continuously sold off, but there are two clear directions for new hot money. One is the RWA (Real-World Asset) track. After the US stablecoin legislation was introduced, tokenized US Treasuries and equities have become popular again, with platforms like Ondo and Link seeing record trading volumes. The other is AI proxy infrastructure. The market is no longer obsessing over concept hype but is looking for tools that enable true inter-payment between AI programs. Projects like Bittensor and Virtuals protocol have become focal points.
A few coins are performing especially strangely. Monero, in 2026 when regulations tighten, is actually approaching its $519 high, with trading volume tripling—obviously some big players are accumulating off-exchange. Cardano's founder's Midnight privacy sidechain project isn't syncing with the overall market; today's trading is active but social buzz is very low, which looks like institutions are pre-positioning. Also, the old project Holo suddenly surged 33%, because its distributed framework is being applied in AI training data validation—this isn't hype, there's real demand driving it.
In the short term, focus on these points. The US non-farm payroll data will be released soon, with expectations of adding 50,000 to 55,000 jobs. If the number is below this, Bitcoin could directly drop to $82,000. Today, two Federal Reserve officials will speak, and we need to see if they change their tone on this year's rate cut expectations. Additionally, a major token unlock for a mainstream L2 project is happening tomorrow, and the selling pressure shouldn't be underestimated. Recently, AI automated trading has increased, and phishing attacks have also risen—don't forget to check your smart contract approvals.
The market has now entered a stage of rational discernment; the era of blindly chasing highs is over. The real opportunities lie in RWA and privacy sectors, which are the most certain tracks in the short term.