#比特币价格走势 When I saw this message, the scene that flashed through my mind was the bottom range in 2015. The ETH/NASDAQ ratio bottomed near 0.11, RSI dropped below 30 into extreme oversold territory—this combination has appeared more than once in history, each time signaling a key reversal point.

I still remember those cyclical reviews from those years. Whenever the correlation between mainstream assets and crypto assets diverged to an extreme, mean reversion was as inevitable as physical laws. The current situation is quite interesting—there are also policy-level variables brewing behind the scenes, such as QE restart, direct cash stimulation, on-chain transfer of securities... These factors are creating the soil for a rebound.

From the perspective of BTC, a weekly RSI in serious oversold territory is itself a classic bottom signal. I’ve seen many such scenarios in past cycles; each time, the market bottoms out in panic and then completes a reversal when things seem most hopeless. The issue isn’t whether it can rebound, but how many people can endure until that moment.

However, we need to be cautious because this time the background is indeed different. Macro environment, policy expectations, institutional participation... none of these are the same as back then. The bottom is confirmed, but the strength and pace of the rebound depend on how quickly these new variables materialize. History has given us reference coordinates, but it will never repeat exactly.