Seeing this rebound, many people are starting to get restless—"Is it time to add to my position?" Hold on, this might actually be a carefully laid trap.
Let's analyze the current situation from a trend perspective. Since Solana launched this rally from the bottom, the increase has been impressive, but it is now approaching a long-term resistance level. This position isn't just casually observed; it is the result of a comprehensive analysis of the price trend and volume distribution over the past six months. The problem is: profit-taking has accumulated too much here. A large number of holders want to cut their positions and lock in gains, creating significant selling pressure. And what about the buyers? The previous aggressive push has already consumed a lot of energy; now they are like boxers after throwing several heavy punches—almost out of strength and only able to defend passively. The forces of bulls and bears are severely unbalanced; as soon as a trigger occurs, a downward trend could be initiated.
Looking at the technical indicators. On the higher timeframes, a clear bearish divergence has already appeared—prices are still rising, but indicators are falling. What does this mean? It indicates that the upward trend has lost fundamental support.
Another detail is the change in volume. During the rebound, the trading volume did not increase proportionally; instead, there were frequent instances of declining volume during upward movements. It’s like a team scoring points that seem to be increasing, but in reality, they are exhausting less and less energy—this growth is illusory and cannot last long.
Overall, this rebound appears more like the final shakeout before a decline. Institutions are positioning for a short squeeze in this area, while retail investors are deceived by the surface-level rally. When most people think prices will go up, that’s often the time for a reversal. Shorting might be more reliable than trying to catch the bottom—risks are more controllable, and the reward-to-risk ratio is clearer.
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WagmiAnon
· 23h ago
It's the same old story... Uncle Su's move is really just a fake rally, a volume-down rise that’s the most deceptive.
The bearish divergence clearly indicates it's just draining the last wave of bagholders. Still adding positions? Wake up, everyone.
Institutions are already building short positions. I see this as a clever trap to lure more longs; shorting indeed has manageable risks.
In this kind of market, it's better to reverse and short rather than blindly bottom-fish, which is much more reliable.
How can shrinking volume be a real rally? We still need to wait for a correction before making any conclusions.
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ETHReserveBank
· 23h ago
Bro, I also find this rebound a bit doubtful. The shrinking volume is really unsettling.
The bearish divergence has already appeared, and some people still want to buy the dip? Serves them right to get cut.
This position in SOL really can't hold, just waiting for the fuse to be ignited.
I hate the volume contraction during an uptrend. It looks like a rise, but it's actually bleeding. You'll only realize you regret it when it drops later.
Institutions short, retail FOMO—this story plays out every year. When will they finally learn to be smart?
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GateUser-26d7f434
· 23h ago
Coming back with this again? Every time there's a rebound, you call it a trap, and when there's a big surge next time, you complain about not getting in.
Is a volume-driven rise necessarily a fake rise? What about divergence? It's happening every day. If it were really that effective, we'd all be financially free by now.
Institutions are positioning for a short? Then who is pouring so much money in? That logic doesn't quite hold up.
The key point is, no matter how eloquently it's explained, it doesn't change a simple reality — we can't outsmart the big players. Instead of guessing the top or bottom, it's more practical to stick to stop-loss strategies.
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Ser_Liquidated
· 23h ago
Haha, it's the same old story. Every rebound, someone calls it a trap. And what’s the result?
Decreasing volume rally means shorting? I think you analysts are greedier than retail investors.
Top divergence + profit-taking, why is the logic the same every time? Are institutions really that predictable?
Instead of studying resistance levels, better check how much blood is left in your own account.
Honestly, shorting sounds cool, but you lose even faster.
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MysteryBoxOpener
· 23h ago
Bearish divergence + decreasing volume, I’m very familiar with this combo, they’re trying to trick us into adding positions again
Another "shakeout trap" story, I’m tired of hearing it haha
SOL is really a bit weak this time, the trading volume can’t support it
You’re right, the bulls are already exhausted, it’s time to exit
Institutional bears are waiting for prey, retail investors rushing in will just get cut
Now not bottoming out and instead shorting? Fine, let’s bet on the opposite direction
Decreasing volume with a price increase, this is a signal before a decline, I believe you this time
Market sentiment tells me something is indeed a bit off here
Seeing this rebound, many people are starting to get restless—"Is it time to add to my position?" Hold on, this might actually be a carefully laid trap.
Let's analyze the current situation from a trend perspective. Since Solana launched this rally from the bottom, the increase has been impressive, but it is now approaching a long-term resistance level. This position isn't just casually observed; it is the result of a comprehensive analysis of the price trend and volume distribution over the past six months. The problem is: profit-taking has accumulated too much here. A large number of holders want to cut their positions and lock in gains, creating significant selling pressure. And what about the buyers? The previous aggressive push has already consumed a lot of energy; now they are like boxers after throwing several heavy punches—almost out of strength and only able to defend passively. The forces of bulls and bears are severely unbalanced; as soon as a trigger occurs, a downward trend could be initiated.
Looking at the technical indicators. On the higher timeframes, a clear bearish divergence has already appeared—prices are still rising, but indicators are falling. What does this mean? It indicates that the upward trend has lost fundamental support.
Another detail is the change in volume. During the rebound, the trading volume did not increase proportionally; instead, there were frequent instances of declining volume during upward movements. It’s like a team scoring points that seem to be increasing, but in reality, they are exhausting less and less energy—this growth is illusory and cannot last long.
Overall, this rebound appears more like the final shakeout before a decline. Institutions are positioning for a short squeeze in this area, while retail investors are deceived by the surface-level rally. When most people think prices will go up, that’s often the time for a reversal. Shorting might be more reliable than trying to catch the bottom—risks are more controllable, and the reward-to-risk ratio is clearer.