Institutions predict 2026 will be a watershed year for the crypto market.

According to the latest annual outlook released by the research team of a leading digital asset company, there is a high probability that Bitcoin will hit a new all-time high in 2026. From the perspective of options market pricing, expectations for mid-2026 are quite dispersed—some anticipate $70,000, others $130,000, with each scenario having a 50% chance. By the end of the year, this uncertainty becomes even more apparent, with a 50% probability for $50,000 and $250,000. There are indeed short-term downside risks, but as long as BTC can hold above $100,000 to $105,000, it is expected to surge toward $250,000 by the end of 2027.

ETFs are already "everywhere." The US market will launch over 50 spot altcoin ETFs, plus another 50 other crypto ETF products, with net inflows of spot crypto ETFs expected to surpass $50 billion. Under this wave, traditional financial institutions are also getting restless—it's expected that a large bank or brokerage will include tokenized stocks as collateral.

In the Solana ecosystem, the SIMD-0411 inflation reduction proposal is very unlikely to pass voting in 2026 and may be withdrawn directly. The status of DEXs is also rising, with spot trading volume share exceeding 25%. Polymarket’s weekly trading volume remains stable above $1.5 billion. In terms of funding, more than 15 crypto companies are expected to complete IPOs or upgrade to listed status in the US.

The SEC faces increasing litigation pressure from traditional market participants or industry organizations due to its innovation exemption policies. These predictions reflect an accelerated evolution of the entire industry—not just price volatility, but also a restructuring of the ecosystem.