During the New Year holiday, after more than a month of sideways consolidation, Bitcoin and Ethereum suddenly experienced a rapid surge. The square instantly became lively, with calls of "Bull Market is here" ringing out one after another. Many people started to get eager, wanting to jump in and seize the opportunity.

But there's a question worth pondering—what exactly is driving this round of market movement? If you're just blindly following the trend because you see prices rising, then you might as well go back to sleep. Farmers still understand the importance of timing, geography, and harmony, but the risk factor in the crypto circle is much higher than in agriculture. Blindly following the trend often results in being "cut."

Can short-term price fluctuations tell us anything? It's hard to say. Sometimes, a piece of good news, a comment from a big influencer, or even the sentiment of an exchange can stir up waves in the short term. But do these waves truly represent a trend? Not necessarily.

So, the most prudent approach right now is: ask yourself a few more "why" questions. What's the logic behind this surge? Is it sustainable? What is your risk tolerance? Don't let the enthusiasm of the square cloud your judgment.

Protect your wallet, stay away from those inexplicable temptations, and wait for truly clear market signals—this is the only way to ensure long-term survival.