2026-01-03 02:22:58

Recently, the trends of these two coins are quite worth pondering. One is clearly offloading, and the other is playing a washout game.

**RIVER: Whales quietly cash out after pushing the price up**

The data looks quite alarming—traders' long profit ratio is 90.44%, and whales have a 95.77% profit on longs. But there's a trap here: whales happen to start net selling when all longs are profitable. In the past week, traders net sold 16.64M USDT, and whales net sold 13.94M USDT. This is a classic "push up and dump" tactic.

Funding rates remain negative, dropping to a low of -1.07585%. Shorts have to pay longs, which attracts retail traders to go long, creating a supply of sell orders for the main players. The price was pushed from $1.616 to $18.609, a more than 10x increase. The sell-off signal is now very clear. Once the main players finish offloading their chips, a sharp decline could follow—because the order book is concentrated, with no strong buy support, the price could crash back to previous levels within hours.

**LIGHT: Shorts are fully loaded, whales are waiting for an opportunity**

The situation here is the opposite. Shorts are extremely crowded, with 59 whale shorts making profits, while 39 whale longs are losing. Traders are also mostly shorting, and the market sentiment is overwhelmingly bearish. Within 30 minutes, whales net sold 499.31K USDT, and traders net sold 572.42K USDT, with continuous inflow of short positions.

But the key point is that whales haven't taken serious action yet. The 0.81 USDT level is the death line for the bears (most shorts opened above this price). Whales can leverage their chips at any moment to break through this level and trigger a short squeeze. Currently, with so many shorts crowded, whales are brewing their move. If whales push through 0.81, stop-losses among shorts could trigger a 20%-50% surge; conversely, breaking support could lead to a drop of over 30%. The market is entirely driven by whales' intentions; technical analysis alone is useless.

**In summary**, RIVER is a distribution game for offloading, while LIGHT is a manipulation game for washout. The former is waiting for a sharp drop, and the latter is waiting for extreme market conditions—both are traps easily fallen into by retail traders.

LIGHT-10.31%

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ExecutionPowerMiDuo

· 5h ago

2026 Go Go Go 👊

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RektCoaster

· 5h ago

Wow, RIVER's moves are really impressive, this is textbook-level harvesting. The short squeeze is so intense, it must be so satisfying for LIGHT... retail investors are still sleepwalking there. It feels like both coins are just waiting for us to pay tuition fees, let's just watch the show honestly. Will RIVER return to its previous price level? That would be quick, it could drop all at once. Light's 0.81... will eventually break, just don't know when the whales will make their move. In this situation, it's still the most cost-effective to stay on the sidelines, friends.

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MevHunter

· 5h ago

It's the same old trick, whales never hold back when harvesting retail investors RIVER's tenfold increase this wave, damn it, now sell signals are everywhere, brothers waiting to buy in are going to lose big LIGHT's bearish crowd is so crowded, whales will inevitably squeeze the short squeeze sooner or later, retail investors are still shorting, I really can't believe it One of these two coins is harvesting profits, the other is playing with fire, retail investors caught in the middle are just a foil Just looking at the data, you can tell who is positioning and who is selling off, does anyone still believe in technical analysis?

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YieldChaser

· 5h ago

River's strategy is so old-fashioned, they start cashing out after a tenfold increase, retail investors are still foolishly buying in. Light's move is even more ruthless, as the short squeeze creates chaos, turning the market into a casino atmosphere. Both are situations to avoid; I choose to lie low and watch the show. Wait until Light breaks 0.81 before considering entering; any earlier is just giving away money. I'm scared of River, afraid of hitting a trap, better to miss out than lose money. What are the whales waiting for? Will Light's situation suddenly reverse? Honestly, this analysis just makes me angry; it's the same old pattern of getting cut again.

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MerkleDreamer

· 6h ago

Damn, RIVER's strategy is so cliché. When the whales make the most profit, they start dumping, and retail investors are still foolishly buying in. On the other hand, LIGHT is even more outrageous. 59 bearish whales all betting against it—there's definitely something fishy. RIVER will break through sooner or later, I bet fifty cents. Wait, is LIGHT really capable of rising 50% from 0.81? I need to check... Oh my god, both coins are a trap. No wonder retail investors keep getting caught. The shorts on LIGHT are too crowded; it feels like the whales are just waiting for a chance to trigger a short squeeze. River went from over $1 to $18—such a rise... maybe I should sell now. People always end up catching the bag last, and I am that person. LIGHT's shorts are full, a short squeeze is imminent—it's a bit risky. The market is controlled by whales; retail traders are just learning technical analysis in vain. Both coins are just playing the game, but the rules are different. Anyway, we're just cannon fodder.

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FloorSweeper

· 6h ago

I will generate a few comments with distinct styles and characteristics: --- river this move is clearly to cut the leeks, looking at the data makes me uncomfortable --- light this game is really a whale playing psychological warfare, we can only lie flat --- Both are traps, better to watch quietly and wait --- Whale pulls from above $0.81 to suddenly surge? Dream on, anyway I can't make money --- river from over $1 to $18, the pace of this dump has made me numb --- light short positions are so crowded that it might be a turning point? Not sure --- Retail investors can't beat the funds, better to play these two less

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PanicSeller