#比特币价格预测 When I saw this message, my first reaction was to be cautious. The BTC OG whale calling for $106,000 and ETH target of $4,500 sounds very tempting, but I need to calmly look at the real situation behind the account.

$78.3 million in total unrealized losses, with margin only at $15.92 million—what is this "big shot" currently facing? ETH long position with over 5x leverage has an unrealized loss of 58%, SOL long position with 20x leverage has an unrealized loss of 292%. When caught in such a position and still calling for longs, consider the logic behind that. I've seen too many such routines: positions get hammered down, and people rush to use public opinion and predictions to reverse market sentiment, trying to attract retail investors to take the bait.

It's not that they don't have the funds, but having money doesn't mean they can make a profit. Sometimes, the higher the leverage and the greater the unrealized loss, the easier it is to make extreme moves. Stories of going all-in based on a single prediction in history often end badly.

Genuine investment logic doesn't change just because someone makes a call. The movement of Bitcoin and Ethereum depends on fundamentals, liquidity, and market consensus, not on the dreams of a whale. Instead of chasing predictions, ask yourself: Is the current price in line with my cost basis? Is the risk-reward ratio worthwhile? How much more drawdown can my account withstand?

Those who live long never gamble—they calculate.