2026-01-02 23:22:42

I have a prediction for this year's market trend——this will be a real bull run, and it’s unlikely to resemble the structural differentiation pattern of last year.

Why do I think so? Ultimately, the current rhythm is somewhat similar to the wave from 1999 to 2000, and also resembles the situation from 2013 to 2014. Do you remember these two cycles? Back then, there was an obvious structural market trend, with certain sectors and coins dancing alone, but in the end? These structural gains eventually evolved into a comprehensive market rally.

History always repeats itself, although the details differ. I believe this time will be no exception. From partial breakthroughs to overall prosperity, that’s the charm of the crypto asset cycle. What do you think?

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

7 Likes

Reward
7
10
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

tx_or_didn't_happen

· 01-05 19:13

History repeating? I think this time there's a high chance of a fall again. Every time they say it's different, but this time it really is different.

View OriginalReply0

MemeKingNFT

· 01-04 01:16

Oh no, here we go again with the cycle theory. I don't buy it... Last time you said that, my digital collectibles were still doubling. Wait, are you serious about that 1999 wave? Now you're daring to compare crypto to the internet bubble... That’s really bold. Structural market evolution and a comprehensive trend? Bro, have you forgotten about the projects from 2023 that haven't recovered since the divergence? On-chain data speaks for itself. I can tell stories too, but the real question is where is the money flowing? Following the trend can work, but you need to get the "trend" right; otherwise, you'll just end up with a chives mentality.

View OriginalReply0

StablecoinSkeptic

· 01-03 15:50

Here comes the cycle theory again, but honestly, this time is different—the macro environment has completely changed. Wait, did you really experience the 99 wave? I feel like some people are just telling stories based on charts. The logic of structural market evolution and overall market trends sounds plausible at first glance, but liquidity is different now. Wake up.

View OriginalReply0

BloodInStreets

· 01-02 23:51

Bro, I'm tired of hearing the same old story about history repeating itself. The last time someone said that, I cut them off.

View OriginalReply0

CryptoNomics

· 01-02 23:49

actually, if you run a proper regression analysis on those historical periods you mentioned, the r-squared correlation breaks down pretty spectacularly when you account for macro variables. but sure, vibes-based investing always works out.

Reply0

TrustMeBro

· 01-02 23:48

Bro, this analysis does have some points, but I still have to say—history repeats itself, but can it really explode comprehensively this time? I remain skeptical. This cycle hasn't fully taken off yet, don't rush to make predictions. It's the same old story of 1999 and 2013, brother, I've heard this explanation too many times. And in the end? Anyway, let's wait and see, don't get caught up in the hype. Structural market trend turning into a comprehensive trend? Sounds good, but I just want to see how long it can last. It's not wrong to say that, but I feel like this time is a bit different. I like this logic; after all, it's all gambling. Might as well bet on a comprehensive move for a better thrill.

View OriginalReply0

BearMarketBuyer

· 01-02 23:40

Damn, is this wave really about to take off completely? Last year, those guys only playing AI coins must be laughing to death. I believe in history repeating itself, but the problem is, we have to live until that day. Is Bitcoin leading the rally this time stable, or will it drop again first? I've heard this kind of argument too many times, and in the end, it's always a cut-loss exit. But on the other hand, the overall market trend is indeed more stimulating than a structural trend... just holding onto shitcoins waiting for a rebound. I missed the 2013 wave, and I can't afford to miss it again this time. Stay calm, first see if there's a breakdown, don't be fooled. Wait, are you saying that now anything can take off if you buy? Then these trash coins I hold are saved? That's right, but I doubt whether the overall market trend you're talking about is just about mainstream coins. Here we go again, every cycle is so pessimistic, but in the end, a big market rally still happens. If you don't believe it, just based on your confidence, I'll go short in the opposite direction first. Uh, does that mean the small coins I hoarded have a chance?

View OriginalReply0

GateUser-7b078580

· 01-02 23:40

Wait a moment, I need to analyze the data hourly. That wave in 1999 was hyped up the same way, but what was the result? Only through repeated validation of historical lows can you make a bet.

View OriginalReply0

BanklessAtHeart

· 01-02 23:28

Ha, it's the same old cycle theory. But then again, this logic is most often heard at the end of a bear market... Wait, how do you know this time isn't just going to drop below the psychological price again?

View OriginalReply0

AirdropAutomaton

· 01-02 23:24

I missed the wave in 99, but I definitely remember 13-14. It looks very similar now. However, whether this will be another harvest or not is hard to say.

View OriginalReply0

Trending Topics
View More
#
GT2025Q4BurnCompleted
12.58K Popularity
#
GateSquareCreatorNewYearIncentives
18.36K Popularity
#
NonfarmPayrollsComing
408 Popularity
#
DailyMarketOverview
310 Popularity
#
IstheMarketBottoming?
163 Popularity

Hot Gate Fun
View More

1
马冬梅
马冬梅
MC:$3.6KHolders:2
0.18%
2
MSCG
马上成功
MC:$3.58KHolders:2
0.00%
3
heima
皆是黑马
MC:$3.56KHolders:1
0.09%
4
日他马
日他马
MC:$3.54KHolders:1
0.00%
5
日塌马
日塌马
MC:$3.54KHolders:1
0.00%

Sitemap

I have a prediction for this year's market trend——this will be a real bull run, and it’s unlikely to resemble the structural differentiation pattern of last year.

Trending Topics

GT2025Q4BurnCompleted

GateSquareCreatorNewYearIncentives

NonfarmPayrollsComing

DailyMarketOverview

IstheMarketBottoming?

Hot Gate Fun

马冬梅

马冬梅

MSCG

马上成功

heima

皆是黑马

日他马

日他马

日塌马

日塌马

Pin

Your First Words Matter!
Share your first post on and split $10,000 in New Year rewards.
Post with #My2026FirstPost to share your New Year wish
2026U Position Voucher, Gate New Year boxes, F1 Red Bull merch await you!
Ends on Jan 15, 2026, 16:00 UTC
2026 starts with this post!

I have a prediction for this year's market trend——this will be a real bull run, and it’s unlikely to resemble the structural differentiation pattern of last year.

Trending Topics

GT2025Q4BurnCompleted

GateSquareCreatorNewYearIncentives

NonfarmPayrollsComing

DailyMarketOverview

IstheMarketBottoming?

Hot Gate Fun

马冬梅

马冬梅

MSCG

马上成功

heima

皆是黑马

日他马

日他马

日塌马

日塌马

Pin

Your First Words Matter! Share your first post on and split $10,000 in New Year rewards. Post with #My2026FirstPost to share your New Year wish 2026U Position Voucher, Gate New Year boxes, F1 Red Bull merch await you! Ends on Jan 15, 2026, 16:00 UTC 2026 starts with this post!

Your First Words Matter!
Share your first post on and split $10,000 in New Year rewards.
Post with #My2026FirstPost to share your New Year wish
2026U Position Voucher, Gate New Year boxes, F1 Red Bull merch await you!
Ends on Jan 15, 2026, 16:00 UTC
2026 starts with this post!