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The Federal Reserve's 2026 interest rate cut timetable has surfaced. According to the latest analysis from Barclays Bank, the policy moves next year may occur in two steps: the first rate cut in March and the second in June, each by 25 basis points.
Why does this forecast attract attention? Because it is supported by data. The December Federal Reserve meeting minutes revealed a clear signal — the decision-makers need "more observation time," and the January meeting is likely to hold steady. Given the gradual easing of inflation pressures and the economy finding a new balance, 2026 could indeed become a critical window for a shift in monetary policy.
Interestingly, most people are still focused on recent market fluctuations, while Barclays has already outlined the policy outline two years ahead. Although this forward-looking analysis carries uncertainty — markets always do — it at least provides traders with a reference coordinate.
Next, it depends on how the Federal Reserve's meeting will be expressed. These discussions may just be the opening act, but every word and every hint could serve as evidence to verify this "early spoiler" in 2026.