#比特币价格预测 Seeing analysts predict Bitcoin will rise to $112,500 within the month, my first reaction isn't excitement but caution. I've heard this kind of prediction too many times—terms like "ascending wedge" and "strong support level" at $80,500 to $90,000 sound very familiar. Every time, they sound convincing, but what happens? The market loves to slap you in the face when you least expect it.

From my years of experience, analyst predictions usually have one characteristic: the potential increase is astonishingly large (from $103,500 to $112,500), yet the reasoning behind it is often very vague. Twists and turns in the process, strong support levels... these phrases are the easiest to confuse people, leading you to think that a pullback is "a planned adjustment." Only when the price truly breaks down do you realize what’s happening.

My advice is: when you hear such monthly target prices, ask yourself three questions first. First, what hard data or subjective judgment is this prediction based on? Second, if the market moves in the opposite direction, where is my stop-loss? Third, how much loss can I tolerate? Too many people are attracted by beautiful numbers without considering the worst-case scenario.

Bitcoin indeed may continue to rise, but don’t be fooled by the words "hopeful." The market’s twists and turns are often more complicated than analysts think. Stay alert, manage your risks well—that’s the secret to lasting longer.