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The market looks lively on the surface, with retail funds increasing by 53% year-over-year, accounting for a quarter of all trading volume in the US. But the real story is far more complex.
While most people are still chasing gains and selling off, the big players are already in action. One address recently absorbed 46,000 ETH in a single day, now holding 580,000 ETH, with an unrealized loss of nearly $200 million, yet remaining unfazed — this is not a game retail investors can play; it's institutions voting with real money.
The more critical change comes from Wall Street. JPMorgan, the giant managing $4 trillion in assets, has listed tokenized money market funds on Ethereum. Imagine what this means — Wall Street’s most core and conservative cash products are being rebuilt on blockchain. Ethereum is no longer a "potential story"; it is evolving into the underlying infrastructure for the next generation of finance.
The situation with BTC is also brewing with undercurrents. Tomorrow, $23.6 billion worth of Bitcoin options will expire. This is not just a regular expiration date; it’s a moment when market makers are primarily unwinding their hedges. Support and resistance levels will become blurred in the short term, and market volatility will be sharply amplified.
On-chain data provides an interesting signal: while prices are falling, the rate of capital outflow is slowing down. Selling pressure is drying up. Similar situations have occurred four times in history, each followed by a rebound. If BTC quickly retraces to the previous dense zone of $80,000–$82,000 after expiration, it might not be a panic point but rather a short-term rebound opportunity zone.
The underlying logic has shifted. The last cycle was a retail frenzy; this cycle is a systematic migration of traditional capital. ETH is the asset issuance layer, BTC is the digital reserve. They are buying, staking, generating stablecoins, and continuously adding positions — not for tomorrow’s price movements, but for the financial landscape ten years from now.
The market is being redefined. Will you continue to watch the K-line heartbeat accelerate, or will you understand this tidal wave and prepare in advance?