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Today’s market rhythm is very clear; chasing highs results in being hit, which is a typical rebound after a surge. Bitcoin reached a temporary top last night and faced resistance, then traded back and forth at relatively high levels; Ethereum performed even weaker, falling from its high point and only rebounding from intraday lows in the evening. The daytime strategy of selling high and buying low captured 1124 points in Bitcoin and 84 points in Ethereum. Due to the stock market closing in the evening, volatility significantly narrowed, so there was no further entry.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin is still trapped in a 4-hour downtrend channel, and the weak pattern is hard to change. Although occasionally bulls attempt a rebound, each attempt lacks strength, mainly technical repairs after a sharp decline, with no real buying intent. The Bollinger Bands are widening, with the middle and lower bands moving downward simultaneously, indicating a classic bearish pattern.
On the 1-hour chart, the rebound is even weaker. The price begins to turn back before reaching resistance above, and the lows continue to make new lows, with the downward channel framework remaining solid. Before seeing a confirmed reversal signal, the trading approach should focus on rebounds facing resistance, observing whether they get rejected from above. As long as the key support line below is not effectively broken, the possibility of a short-term technical rebound still exists.