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#比特币波动性 Recently, this pullback of $BTC can actually reveal some insights when you look back at the historical ledger.



There is a rather intriguing phenomenon – the maximum pullback of each large cycle is actually narrowing with each occurrence:

Back in 2011, it was directly cut down by more than 90% (-94%), in 2014 it was also cut by 85%, by 2018 there was still a depth of 83%, and in 2021 it converged to 75%.

The numbers are here, and the pattern is very obvious.

So even if this round really weakens, a drop of 70% is actually a historical normal range. Calculating this way, if the price returns to around 37,000 USD, to be honest, it's just a normal fluctuation within the cycle. Everyone should be mentally prepared 😂 $BTC
BTC0.24%
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SchrodingerWalletvip
· 4h ago
The historical trend is clear; a 70% pullback is just a routine operation.
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PonziDetectorvip
· 9h ago
Data can lie, history may repeat itself, but the Wallet will not.
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TokenVelocityvip
· 9h ago
Looking at the data pumped out like this, it really is quite interesting... history is the best psychological construction.
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MeaninglessApevip
· 9h ago
Let the data speak—this logic truly holds up, and a comparison with historical cycles immediately exposes the flaws.
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PuzzledScholarvip
· 9h ago
This data does have some substance, but 70% still needs to eat quite a bit of backtracking meat.
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SnapshotDayLaborervip
· 9h ago
With the data being broken down like this, it really is quite interesting; the retracement amplitude is getting narrower in this trend... However, that said, when it comes to using historical patterns to calculate how deep this round can fall, I feel it still depends on the current market liquidity and the quality of the participants.
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