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The U.S. government is about to restart, but the "window period" for economic data may have just begun.
[Coin World] Although the U.S. government shutdown is about to end, the release of economic data is still likely to be a problem in the short term. Marcus Widen, an analyst at a Nordic bank, bluntly stated that the biggest trouble now is not when the government will restart, but when the key statistical data will be available and whether the data can be trusted.
He took CPI as an example — this kind of data that requires fixed time to be collected on-site is now becoming increasingly difficult to gather. The worst-case scenario? Some data might be directly glossed over with estimated values. Widen's original words were: “Revised statistical data is certainly better than having no data at all,” but the implication is obvious; it is not realistic to expect the quality of economic data to return to normal in the short term.
For the market, this means that decisions may need to be made in a state of incomplete information for a period of time to come.