#十二月降息预测 Will there be a rate cut in December? The divisions within the Fed are intensifying.

Disagreements within the Fed over a rate cut in December are intensifying.
Fed Governor Waller stated in a recent speech that, given the risk of a continued slowdown in U.S. employment, the Fed should continue to lower interest rates at the meeting in December. However, several Fed officials have expressed concerns in various forms about the possibility of another rate cut in December.
Market participants believe that if future economic data shows complexity, the divisions within the Fed may persist for a longer period.
As a result, market expectations for a rate cut by the Fed continue to cool. The latest data from the CME FedWatch Tool shows that the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in December has dropped from over 90% a week ago to about 63% now.