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The Ethereum (ETH) market has shown concerning performance recently, with prices continuously falling, triggering anxiety among investors. Currently, the ETH price has dropped to $4086.48, down 2.79% from the previous day, breaking below the important Bollinger Band mid-support level of $4045.49.
From a technical perspective, the situation is more severe. The price of ETH has completely fallen below the short-term moving averages, with the MA7 and EMA7 both at $4128.85, while the EMA25 is further suppressed at $4047.35, creating multiple layers of pressure. Within 24 hours, ETH reached a low of $4066.88, with bearish forces clearly dominating.
The most concerning phenomenon is the divergence between price and volume. During the price decline, the trading volume did not increase accordingly. The 24-hour trading volume was only 5.58 million, far below the 5-day average of 6.83 million, exhibiting a typical "low-volume bearish" characteristic. In this situation, the ETH price fluctuates within the weak range of the lower Bollinger Band between 4045-3832 USD, with short-term moving averages showing a comprehensive downward arrangement.
Investors need to closely monitor the following key price levels for the current market:
Resistance levels: Bollinger Band middle line at $4045, EMA7 at $4128, and Bollinger Band upper line at $4258.
Support level: The lower Bollinger Band at $3832 is the primary defense line, followed by the previous low of $3700.
Based on the current market conditions, the recommended investment strategy is as follows:
1. Investors holding ETH may consider moderately reducing their positions when the price rebounds to the range of $4045-$4128, and set the stop-loss level below $4050.
2. Investors currently holding a short position should observe for now. If the ETH price falls sharply to around $3832, consider a small position to go long.
It is worth noting that the current market price is close to the marked price of 4086.47 USD. Only with a significant increase in trading volume and a breakthrough of the resistance level at 4128 USD could the fall of ETH potentially see substantial relief.
In the rapidly changing cryptocurrency market, opportunities and risks coexist. Investors should remain vigilant, analyze market trends rationally, and make prudent investment decisions.