#每日策略推荐9月28

1. Market Review/Analysis and Robot Strategy Selection:

The market has entered a period of consolidation after the sharp drop on Thursday, with both bulls and bears locked in a stalemate at key technical levels.

Looking at the broader environment, expectations for the Federal Reserve to continue lowering interest rates have cooled, and the persistent high interest rate environment has suppressed Bitcoin's price. This week, the market experienced the most brutal sell-off in months, with a total cryptocurrency market capitalization evaporating by approximately $300 billion in a single week. This was driven by a chain reaction of high leverage liquidations—Ethereum led the decline, resulting in a large number of long positions being forcibly liquidated, forming a negative feedback loop of "decline → liquidation → further decline."

From a technical perspective, in the daily timeframe for Bitcoin, both the DIF and DEA have crossed below the zero axis, confirming a weakening of the mid-term trend. However, the significant decrease in trading volume is currently the most important positive signal, indicating that at this position, sellers willing to "cut losses" have sharply decreased, while buyers are also on the sidelines, achieving a brief balance between bulls and bears. In the 4-hour timeframe, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing and the MACD has formed a golden cross below the zero axis, which is a typical signal of "continuation in a downtrend" or "bottom formation". However, since the trading volume has not increased to support this, the strength of this golden cross remains to be observed.

The short-term trend is primarily characterized by reduced volatility and consolidation. Since it is the weekend, extremely low volume is the norm, and attention should be paid to whether the volume can return at the beginning of next week.

Short-term support is seen at $101,500 - $103,000, and it should not be lost again; the $110,000 - $112,000 area above is the first strong resistance for a rebound (previous support turned into resistance). If it can break through with volume, the short-term bottom structure will be more solid.

In the medium to long term, the core task is to defend the crucial psychological and technical barrier of $100,000. As long as we can complete fluctuations and build a base above this price level, the logic for medium to long-term growth has not been completely undermined.

If the volume drops below $100,000, it means the correction will continue to deepen, with the next target potentially pointing to the $90,000 - $92,000 range.

The trend of Ethereum continues to be weaker than Bitcoin, but has also entered a recovery phase. Technically, on the 4-hour level, it is similar to BTC, with the Bollinger Bands narrowing and the MACD golden cross indicating a weakening of downward momentum, entering a sideways consolidation. The rebound strength is very weak, resembling a weak consolidation. On the daily level, the DIF and DEA have crossed below the zero axis, confirming a mid-term weakness, and the market sentiment is heavily cautious.

The short-term trend will be completely linked to Bitcoin, but volatility may still be significant; $3,800 is the short-term support that must be maintained, while the strong resistance area above is between $4,100 and $4,160. Before a significant breakout of this area occurs, any rebound can only be seen as a weak counter-trend.

The medium to long-term trend requires more time than Bitcoin to repair the damaged technical patterns and market confidence. The strengthening of the medium to long-term trend needs to be driven by positive factors within Ethereum's own ecosystem.

Short-term operations are relatively difficult. Although the current trend is bearish, a weak rebound is still a rebound. The strategy suitable for the current market is: BTC spot Martingale + ETH spot grid.

2. Robot Practical Strategy Reference
Strategy Recommendation 1: When it drops to the key support level, you can set up a spot Martingale for BTCUSDT.
How much to increase the position: 1.5%;
Maximum increase in positions: 6;
Take profit ratio per round: 2%;

Strategy Recommendation 2: If there is a rebound in a weak range fluctuation, more opportunities will arise, and you can arrange ETH/USDT spot grid.

Price range: $3800-$4100;
Number of grids: 50
Expected strategy operation time: September 28 - October 5;

Warm reminder: The above content is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice. You can consult more information to make reasonable investment decisions.

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