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With the arrival of September, the Crypto Assets market's focus is on Bitcoin's performance. Although historical data shows that this month is usually not very friendly to Bitcoin, the latest economic indicators may suggest an unusual development.
The recently released Consumer Price Index (CPI) data shows a moderate inflation trend, which creates favorable conditions for a potential breakthrough for Bitcoin. Economists are closely monitoring this indicator, as it may influence the decisions of the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.
Market analysis shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut has risen to a high of 94.4%. If this expectation materializes, it could bring more liquidity and enhance investors' preference for risk assets, including Bitcoin.
However, Bitcoin's historical performance in September has not been optimistic. In the past 12 years, it has only closed with positive returns 4 times in this month. This data undoubtedly serves as a wake-up call for investors, reminding them to be cautious about short-term market trends.
Nevertheless, the fourth quarter has always been the most outstanding period for Bitcoin, with an average return rate of up to 85.42%. This seasonal trend provides a certain level of confidence for long-term investors.
In addition to inflation data, changes in tariff policies may also impact the Bitcoin market. As the global trade situation continues to evolve, investors may view Bitcoin as one of the tools for hedging risks.
Overall, September has been a month full of challenges and opportunities for Bitcoin. Weaker CPI data, potential interest rate cuts, and changes in the global economic environment will play an important role in shaping Bitcoin's short-term trends. Investors should closely monitor these factors while weighing short-term risks against long-term potential.
As the market continues to evolve, whether Bitcoin can break through historical patterns in this traditionally challenging month will be the focus of attention for crypto assets enthusiasts and investors.