Recent financial market data shows that investors have significantly changed their expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy direction in the coming months. According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's (CME) "FedWatch" tool analysis, market participants generally believe that the Fed may start cutting interest rates in the fourth quarter of this year.



Specifically, in September, the probability that the Fed will maintain the current interest rate level is only 7.6%, while the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut is as high as 92.4%. This trend is even more pronounced in the expectations for October, when the probability of the Fed keeping the interest rate unchanged further drops to 2.7%. At the same time, the market expects that the likelihood of the Fed cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points in October is 38%, and the probability of a cumulative cut of 50 basis points reaches as high as 59.2%.

This expected shift reflects the market's concerns about the outlook for the U.S. economy, as well as the judgment that inflationary pressures may further ease. However, it is important to note that the Fed's actual decisions will be based on a more comprehensive analysis of economic data, rather than merely market expectations.

As the global economic situation continues to evolve, various sectors will closely monitor the public speeches of Federal Reserve officials and the upcoming economic reports for more clues about the direction of monetary policy. This potential policy shift will not only affect the domestic economy of the United States but may also have far-reaching effects on global financial markets.
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TokenVelocityTraumavip
· 12h ago
I don't understand the Fed's actions, what's the point of the bearish speculation?
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GateUser-afe07a92vip
· 08-06 00:50
Cut Loss and run first.
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WenAirdropvip
· 08-06 00:49
Bull, Be Played for Suckers requires preparing the tools in advance.
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NFTArchaeologistvip
· 08-06 00:42
What is the use of data analysis? Isn't it just to listen to the officials?
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SchroedingerMinervip
· 08-06 00:31
The Fed is finally going to cut.
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