Derive：随着6月份BTC和ETH波动性下降，期权交易员押注7月将迎来“大行情”

DailyNews

2025-07-04 10:28:25

DRV8,99%

BTC0,22%

ETH-0,59%

PANews 7月4日消息，据The Block报道，衍生品交易平台Derive研究主管Sean Dawson在最新市场报告中称，6月比特币和以太坊隐含波动率下降，促使Derive.xyz交易员本月布局，预期市场将出现大幅突破。数据显示，30天隐含波动率呈降势，比特币隐含波动率从44%降至36%，以太坊从68%降至60%。Dawson指出，交易员已提前布局，6月中东局势升级时市场虽回调，但波动率短暂飙升，表明市场押注冲突影响有限，交易员也准确预判了冲突可控。展望未来，该平台认为比特币和以太坊本月及三季度或看涨，但更看好以太坊波动潜力。Derive概率引擎显示，8月底前比特币突破13万美元概率仅10%，但交易员集中布局该价位。不过，Derive平台上以太坊7月到期期权近80%看涨持仓在3000美元上方。Dawson认为，Robinhood相关计划或助以太坊突破，交易员正押注7月市场有大动作，所有目光聚焦多方因素发展。

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