detailed technical analysis of the FIL/USDT pair

1. Identify the main trend of the market Overall trend: 1D & 1W frames: The main trend remains long-term decline. The price remains below the EMA(25) and EMA(99) lines. 4H & 1H frames: There are signs of short-term recovery as the price moves above EMA(7) and EMA(25), but has not yet broken EMA(99). Conclusion: The long-term trend is still bearish, but the short-term timeframe may have a short-term pullback or reversal. Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (ChoCH): 1H frame: There is a rising when the price breaks out of the nearest peak of 2.663. 4H frame: There is no clear BOS yet, still a pullback in the main downtrend. Market Momentum (OBV, MFI, Volume, Delta Volume, Open Interest - OI): OBV & MFI: OBV increased slightly, MFI is not overbought, indicating that buying is improving. Delta Volume: There are no signs of strong buying, just technical retracements. Open Interest (OI): Is declining slightly, indicating that large cash flows have not yet strongly participated in this uptrend.

2. Identify important support & resistance zones Important support: $2.43 - $2.50 zone: This is an important Order Block zone on the 1D frame. If the price falls here but there is an increase in volume + strong reaction, there may be an entry point to buy. Important resistance: $3.10 - $3.20: The nearest resistance zone, coinciding with EMA(99) on the 1D frame. $3.50 - $3.60: Stronger resistance levels, coinciding with last month's old peaks. Fibonacci Retracement: The current price is reacting near the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci level from the previous downbeat. If 3.10 is broken, it can move to the 0.618 area at $3.50. Liquidity Grab & Liquidity Pool Analysis: The previous price swept down to 2.43 (liquidity grab) and then bounced. If the price breaks 2.86 (hỗ gần) support, it is possible to return to test 2.50.

3. Candlestick Pattern Analysis & Price Action Reversal & continuity candlestick pattern: 1D frame: There are small green candlesticks, but there is no strong reversal candlestick pattern like Engulfing or Pin Bar. 1H & 4H frames: There is a Higher High - Higher Low pattern, but there is no clear trend confirmation candlestick yet. Bull Trap/Bear Trap & Fakeout: If the price breaks out of 3.10 but fails to hold, possibly a Bull Trap, it is necessary to confirm with the volume. If the price plummets to 2.50 and then pops up with a large volume, it may be a bear trap.

4. Analyze technical indicators to confirm signals MACD: 1H & 4H frames: MACD is positive, indicating bullish momentum is forming. 1D frame: MACD is still below 0, needs further breakout to confirm. RSI: 1H frame: RSI is close to 70 (quá mua), a slight correction may appear. Frame 1D: RSI is not overbought, there may be room to rise. Bollinger Bands: Frame 1H: The price is at the upper border of the Bollinger Bands → Short-term correction is possible. Frame 1D: The price is gradually moving up to the middle border, there is no strong breakout yet. OBV & MFI: OBV increased slightly, but did not spike → The buying force was not too strong. Average MFI, not overbought → No big signs of FOMO. Open Interest & CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta): OI is declining slightly, there is no large cash flow strongly involved in the uptrend. CVD has not had a spike, it is not possible to confirm the strong buying force from Smart Money.

5. Smart Cash Flow Analysis (Smart Money Concept - SMC) Order Block (OB) important: Support zone of $2.43 - $2.50: There are signs that Smart Money buys when the price touches the bottom. The $3.10 - $3.20 resistance zone: This could be where Smart Money distributes if the volume weakens. Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (ChoCH): The 1H frame has an increased, but there is no clear BOS on the larger frame yet. Liquidity Grab & Delta Volume: There are signs of a liquidity sweep at 2.43 before rising, but there has not been a major breakout yet.

6. Determine the market stage according to the Wyckoff Method Current period: 1W & 1D frames: Nearly identical to Accumulation but not yet confirmed. 4H & 1H frames: Short-term markup but needs further confirmation.

7. Recommend trading strategies based on analytical data Scenario 1: If BTC continues to rise→ FIL may continue to rise ✅ Buy entry points: Wait for the price to retest the $2.80 - $2.86 zone (Fibo 0.382) to buy. Stop loss: Below $2.75 to avoid SL sweep. Take profit: Target $3.10 - $3.50 if there is a breakout. Scenario 2: If BTC falls → FIL may fall to a strong support zone ✅ Short entry points: If the price breaks out of $2.86, it can short to $2.50 - $2.43. Stop loss: Above $3.00 (giảm the risk of being swept SL). Take profit: Support zone $2.50 - $2.43. Scenario 3: If BTC moves sideways → Margin Trading ✅ Buy at support $2.50 - $2.60, sell at resistance $3.10 - $3.20. ✅ If there is a breakout, confirm with Volume + Delta Volume + Liquidity Pool before opening. Scenario 4: If there is a Fakeout at resistance/support ✅ If the price breaks out of 3.10 but does not hold→ It is possible to go short when the price returns below 3.00. ✅ If the price falls to 2.50 but has a large buying force→ It is possible to buy if a confirmation candlestick appears + Volume increases sharply.

Conclude: Main trend: Long-term decline but short-term recovery. Strategy: Buy if the price retests support or short if BTC weakens. Further observation: Volume, Open Interest and price action around key zones.