Determine the Main Trend
(a) The trend along the EMA lines (7, 25, 99)
1H & 4H Frame: The price is currently fluctuating near the EMA7 and EMA25 lines but still below the EMA99. This indicates that the downtrend is still dominant, however, there are signs of short-term recovery.
1D Frame: The price is still below all 3 EMA lines, indicating that the long-term downtrend is still intact.
1W Frame: The long-term downtrend remains strong as the price is below EMA99 and there is no clear breakout sign yet.
( Short-term vs. long-term trends
Short-term trend )1H & 4H(: The price has seen a slight recovery from $0.336, but needs to surpass $0.40 to confirm a short-term reversal.
Mid-term trend )1D(: Still in a downtrend, no confirmation of a strong reversal yet.
Long-term trend )1W(: Currently in a prolonged downtrend from 2021 to date, with no significant signs of a breakthrough.
)c( Is it a signal of reversal or continuation of the trend?
Reversal potential: Price is recovering from the $0.336 bottom area but needs to surpass $0.40 - $0.45 to confirm.
Possibility of continuing the downtrend: If the price does not hold above the $0.336 - $0.34 range, it may continue to decline further.
Identify Key Support & Resistance Areas
Strong support:
$0.336 - $0.34: Recently near the bottom, if broken, it could drop to $0.30.
$0.30: Important psychological support.
Important resistance:
$0.40 - $0.42: EMA99 on the 4H timeframe, a strong resistance area that needs to be overcome to confirm the short-term uptrend.
$0.45 - $0.50: Strong resistance at Fibonacci 38.2%.
$0.58: EMA99 on 1D timeframe, need to surpass in order to expect medium-term reversal.
Candlestick Pattern & Price Action Analysis
1H & 4H frame: A Pin Bar candlestick has appeared, indicating a price increase near the $0.34 support area, showing that the buying side is trying to push the price up.
1D Frame: There has been no strong reversal candlestick patterns such as Bullish Engulfing or Morning Star.
Frame 1W: The price is still in a downtrend with a long-bodied candle, no strong reversal signs yet.
Technical Indicator Analysis
MACD:
1H & 4H: MACD is showing signs of a bullish crossover, indicating short-term recovery momentum.
1D & 1W: MACD still in the negative zone, no signals of medium/long-term reversal yet.
RSI:
1H & 4H: RSI around 40-50, not in overbought/oversold territory yet.
1D: RSI touches the 30-35 zone, close to oversold territory, there may be a rebound.
1W: RSI still below 40, not giving a strong reversal signal.
Bollinger Bands:
Price touched the lower edge on the 1D & 4H timeframe, may rebound slightly but no strong breakout signs yet.
Trading Volume Analysis )Volume Profile(
4H & 1D Volume Profile: There is a slight increase as the price approaches the $0.34 support area, indicating buying pressure is starting to return.
1W volume frame: Still low compared to previous growth phases, not confirmed strong reversal trend.
Proposed Trading Strategy
)A( Short-term Swing Trading Strategy )1H - 4H(
Entry: Buy around the $0.34 - $0.36 area when there is confirmation of a reversal candle.
Stop Loss: Below $0.33 )if the price breaks through the important support(.
Take Profit: $0.40 - $0.42 ) resistance EMA99(.
)B( Medium-term trading strategy )1D - 1W(
Entry: Wait for price breakout above $0.40 - $0.42 with large volume.
Stop Loss: Below $0.34.
Take Profit:
Target 1: $0.45 - $0.50 )Fibonacci 38.2%(.
Target 2: $0.58 - $0.60 )EMA99 on the 1D( timeframe.
)C( Long-term strategy )Long-term hold(
Only buy when the price exceeds $0.58 - $0.60, confirming the long-term uptrend.
Conclusion: Should I Buy CELO?
The main trend is still downward, with no strong reversal confirmation yet.
If surfing, can buy around $0.34 - $0.36 with target $0.40 - $0.42.
If you are a long-term investor, it is advisable to wait for the price to exceed $0.58 - $0.60 to ensure safety.
Recommendation: Only enter orders with small quantities and manage risks tightly.
The content is for reference only, not a solicitation or offer. No investment, tax, or legal advice provided. See Disclaimer for more risks disclosure.
Technical Analysis CELO/USDT – Price Action & Technical Indicators
Conclusion: Should I Buy CELO? The main trend is still downward, with no strong reversal confirmation yet. If surfing, can buy around $0.34 - $0.36 with target $0.40 - $0.42. If you are a long-term investor, it is advisable to wait for the price to exceed $0.58 - $0.60 to ensure safety. Recommendation: Only enter orders with small quantities and manage risks tightly.