机构:美国1月非农报告或创纪录下修

Odaily星球日报讯 机构分析指出,一份数据量超出常规的就业报告预计将揭示美国劳动力市场近年放缓的程度——抑或可能显示其根本未曾增长。除常规的月度非农就业和失业数据外,将于周三发布的 1 月非农就业报告还包含备受期待的就业数据修正。初步预估显示,截至 2025 年 3 月的年度就业数据将创纪录地下修 91.1 万人,预计此次修正将大幅调低就业增长步伐。“今年的年度基准修订将比往年更具影响力,”加拿大蒙特利尔银行资本市场首席美国经济学家斯科特·安德森表示,“当前劳动力市场确实处于净就业增长与可能就业萎缩的临界点。”每年 1 月就业报告发布时,美国劳工统计局都会以更精确但时效性较差的《季度就业和工资普查》(QCEW)数据为基准修订非农就业数据。该数据基于各州失业保险税记录,覆盖美国大多数工作岗位。(金十)

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