日本央行避免承诺4月加息,市场预期本月加息概率66%

Gate News 消息,4 月 6 日,日本央行通过其两份季度地区经济报告释放谨慎信号,避免助长市场对本月加息可能性的预期。日本央行在总结各分行行长观点的新闻稿中表示,展望未来,在不确定性增加的情况下,人们担心物价上涨,尤其是能源价格上涨,及其对企业利润和私人消费的负面影响。这番评论表明,日本央行不愿在距离 4 月 28 日下次利率决议还有三周之际承诺加息。根据隔夜掉期市场(利率衍生品市场)的定价,截至周一,交易员认为本月加息的可能性约为 66%,因为伊朗战争可能会在通胀本就持续偏高的情况下,给日本带来更大的通胀上行风险。日本央行还表示,许多报告指出,企业继续将劳动力和物流费用等成本上涨转嫁到销售价格上。与此同时,企业继续通过限制涨价幅度和加强低价产品阵容来应对消费者的通胀疲劳。

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