Gate News 消息,3 月 23 日,比特币在年初经历剧烈回调后,传统金融市场开始显现跟随迹象。数据显示,比特币此前在五周内从约9万美元下跌至接近6万美元,明显早于标普500和纳斯达克指数转弱。
当前,美国国债收益率快速上行成为关键变量。10年期美债收益率升至4.41%,创下数月新高,自伊朗战争爆发以来已累计上升48个基点;2年期收益率亦升至3.94%。借贷成本上升对企业估值形成压制,推动股市风险偏好下降。
市场表现显示,科技股承压明显。纳斯达克相关期货跌至23,890点,创去年9月以来新低,标普500期货也同步走弱。分析人士认为,股市当前走势与此前比特币暴跌前的结构相似,可能仍存在进一步下行空间。
彭博高级策略师 Mike McGlone 指出,比特币通常位于风险资产的前沿,其此前的大幅回调可能是更广泛市场调整的前兆,尤其是在大宗商品波动加剧背景下。
尽管如此,比特币近期价格趋于稳定,目前在65,000至75,000美元区间震荡,最新报价约68,790美元。不过,衍生品市场释放出谨慎信号,看跌期权需求升至高位,显示市场对未来波动仍存担忧。
在当前宏观环境下,美债收益率上升、通胀预期变化以及地缘局势共同影响市场结构。比特币与股市的联动性再次成为焦点,投资者需密切关注利率走势及风险资产之间的传导效应。(CoinDesk)
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