3月3日消息,以太坊价格在机构大额买入与风险资产情绪回暖的推动下出现明显反弹,一度重新站上2000美元关口。数据显示,以太坊盘中最高触及2072美元,随后在2000美元上方震荡,目前价格约为2008美元,较此前因美国总统特朗普宣布对伊朗展开军事行动后的低点反弹接近8%。
推动此次反弹的重要因素之一是机构持续增持。数字资产公司Bitmine最新披露,其再次买入50,928枚以太坊,交易价值约1.03亿美元。这笔增持使其ETH总持仓升至4,473,587枚,以当前价格计算市值接近90亿美元。市场分析认为,大型机构持续买入往往会强化投资者对以太坊长期价值的预期。
宏观环境同样对市场情绪产生影响。美国制造业PMI数据高于预期后,风险资产短暂获得资金青睐,比特币价格迅速从约6.5万美元反弹至接近7万美元,这一走势也带动以太坊同步回升。与此同时,杠杆市场出现大规模空头清算。数据显示,过去24小时以太坊衍生品市场清算金额超过8500万美元,其中约5700万美元来自空头仓位。
尽管短线出现反弹,但市场情绪依旧谨慎。比特币多次冲击7万美元阻力失败,再加上中东局势持续紧张,部分资金重新流向黄金等避险资产,限制了加密市场的进一步上涨空间。
从历史数据来看,以太坊的周期表现也面临压力。自2025年9月以来,以太坊已经连续六个月收跌,创下历史最长月度连跌纪录。虽然统计显示3月份以太坊平均回报率接近6%,但当前宏观环境的不确定性让市场对反转行情保持观望态度。
技术面信号同样值得关注。周线图显示,以太坊已经形成大型头肩顶结构,这是典型的看跌反转形态。同时,超级趋势指标转为红色,柴金资金流量指数为-0.15,显示资金仍在持续流出。
目前交易员重点关注1800美元区域的支撑,一旦跌破这一关键水平,市场可能出现进一步下探。相反,如果以太坊突破2200美元技术阻力位,特别是23.6%斐波那契回撤位置,市场结构可能重新转向多头格局。
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