2月26日消息，比特币在周三一度逼近7万美元关口后未能有效突破，随后回落至约68,300美元，较盘中高点及隔夜低点波动接近5%。这是自2月5日大幅下跌以来，比特币最有力度的一次上攻尝试，但关键阻力位依然压制上行空间，短线走势呈现高位震荡格局。
与比特币的相对克制相比，山寨币表现更为强势。以太坊上涨约8.5%，索拉纳涨幅约6.9%，卡尔达诺飙升10%以上，狗狗币也录得约8%的涨幅，明显跑赢大盘。比特币同期涨幅仅约4.3%，在主流加密资产中表现靠后，显示资金正从核心资产向高贝塔代币轮动。
ZeroStack首席执行官 Daniel Reis-Faria 指出，强制抛售压力正在逐步缓解，山寨币重新跑赢往往意味着市场风险偏好回升，交易员开始加码波动性更高的加密资产，这通常是阶段性反弹中的典型结构特征。
宏观层面仍对行情形成制约。人工智能相关龙头财报后涨势放缓，科技股情绪降温，间接影响风险资产表现。同时，做市机构 Wintermute 表示，部分资金正在转向防御性资产与实物资产，加密市场流动性恢复节奏仍偏慢。
链上数据方面，Glassnode认为整体流动性或需数月才会明显修复，而Matrixport则指出稳定币供应增长停滞仍是限制比特币持续上行的重要因素。尽管Cryptoquant数据显示抛压有所减弱，为短期反弹提供支撑，但若后续跌破6万美元关键支撑区间，市场仍可能面临更深层回调风险。当前走势反映出短期技术性反弹与中期趋势修复之间仍存在明显分化。
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