PANews 2月20日消息，Matrixport在X平台发布研报，其中指出比特币近期快速下跌，期权隐含波动率一度飙升，随后部分回落。比特币价格从8.5万美元附近下挫至6万美元附近的低点，之后在6.6万美元左右企稳。与此同时，2026年3月到期的隐含波动率从40%出头快速拉升至接近65%的恐慌性高点，反映出下跌过程中对下行保护的强烈需求。此后隐含波动率回落至50%附近，表明部分尾部风险对冲正在解除，短期压力有所缓和。
加密市场正逼近关键拐点:波动率仍处高位，情绪徘徊在极端低位，市场流动性继续流出。交易者逐步解除崩盘对冲，整体仓位明显变轻，参与度也显著下降。历史上，这类组合特征往往出现在重要方向性行情启动之前。宏观环境出现改善，但加密资产价格仍未明显跟随，这种背离通常难以长期持续。
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