地缘政治领域80%胜率地址8.36万美元押注美军不会在4月前进入伊朗

Gate News 消息,3 月 16 日,预测市场 Polymarket 数据显示,过去一日内,地缘政治话题 80% 胜率地址投入 8.36 万美元押注「美军不会在四月前进入伊朗」,成本概率 71%,目前概率为 73%。

特朗普正在推动组建名为「Hormuz Coalition」的国际联盟,目标是重新打开霍尔木兹海峡,并希望在本周晚些时候正式宣布;设有美军基地的海湾国家否认允许其土地或领空被用于对伊朗的军事行动,对伊朗指称美军从阿联酋发动打击的说法,美国中央司令部否认或未回应。

伊朗继续对以色列、美军基地和海湾能源设施发动导弹与无人机袭击,迪拜机场也因无人机击中附近油罐而一度关闭;但在这种升级背景下,公开的美国动作仍集中在海峡通航、盟友派舰和外围压制。

根据该交易者过往交易画像判断,其并非押注事件是否实际发生,存在开仓后在某一时间点止盈、止损的行为。账户地址:0xa3ff29e34b23b468b4ff5dbba28ad9e56bcd540e,开仓金额 8.36 万美元。

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.
Commento
0/400
Nessun commento