地缘政治板块五次全胜地址 1 万美元押注伊朗领导层不会在五月前更迭

Gate News 消息,3 月 12 日,去中心化预测市场平台 Polymarket 数据显示,过去七小时内,一个在地缘政治板块五次全胜的地址以 1 万美元押注「伊朗领导层不会在五月前更迭」,开仓均价 67.6¢,现价 66.5¢。根据该盘口结算规则,如果伊朗最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊在指定日期前不再是伊朗的实际领导人,该盘口将结算为「是」。路透社 11 日报道,美国情报评估认为伊朗政府「并无崩溃风险」,尽管阿里·哈梅内伊已在打击中身亡,但伊朗权力体系仍在运转。伊朗在持续空袭下同步加强了国内控制,伊朗警察总长警告,任何响应特朗普号召上街的人都将被视为「敌人而不是抗议者」。根据该交易者过往交易画像判断,其并非押注事件是否实际发生,存在开仓后在某一时间点止盈、止损的行为。账户地址:0xbe482cd6e5183be8767f03b48ebc3ff35769683f。

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