六个Polymarket账户疑涉嫌内幕交易，押注美国打击伊朗盈利100万美元

Kalshi hoàn phí dự đoán “lãnh tụ tối cao Khamenei thiệt mạng”, cam kết không để người dùng thua lỗ

CEO Tarek Mansour of Kalshi clarified on platform X that the company does not list betting markets based on death events and has implemented rules to prevent exploitation. Following the death of Khamenei, Kalshi assured full refunds for users, ensuring fairness and compliance.

Polymarket 出现多份伊朗相关合约，哈梅内伊下台合约吸引 4500 万美元交易量

ChainCatcher 消息，据 CoinDesk 报道，自美国和以色列对伊朗发动袭击以来，预测市场 Polymarket 上出现十几份与伊朗有关的合约，仅哈梅内伊下台的预测市场就吸引了 4500 万美元的交易量。 成交额最高的交易员账户名为 “Curseaaaaaaa”，通过押注 “是” 获利 75.7 万美元。另有四位交易员的收益也分别达到了六位数。

Polymarket 置顶了数个美伊战争有关的预测市场

Foresight News 消息，Polymarket 置顶了数个美伊战争有关的预测市场，包括何时停火、伊朗政权是否会在年中前垮台等。

Crypto Panic Surges Amid U.S.-Iran Tensions

Crypto markets plunged as U.S.-Iran tensions flared, leading to $1.8B in sell orders and $500M in liquidations, primarily in Bitcoin and Ethereum. Polymarket users profited from predicting strikes, showcasing the influence of geopolitical events on trader sentiment and market instability.

Polymarket上押注哈梅内伊 3 月 31 日前卸任概率飙升至93%

ChainCatcher 消息，据 Polymarket 数据，"哈梅内伊会在3月31日之前卸任伊朗最高领袖"盘口胜出概率今日急剧飙升至93%，较此前上涨85个百分点，市场总交易量达3043万美元。

一Polymarket用户押注美以不会打击伊朗，两个月盈利超200万美元后单日亏损650万美元

Odaily星球日报讯 据 Lookonchain 监测，Polymarket 用户 anoin123 此前持续押注美国/以色列不会对伊朗发动打击，两个月内累计盈利超 200 万美元。但打击事件发生后，anoin123 单日亏损 650 万美元，从盈利逾 200 万美元转为亏损逾 450 万美元。