预告:今晚21:30美国将公布12月CPI数据,市场普遍预计物价压力依然顽固

BlockBeats 消息,1 月 13 日,今晚 21:30,美国将公布 12 月 CPI 数据。市场普遍预计,该通胀数据将显示物价压力依然顽固,且距离美联储 2% 的目标仍有距离。

根据彭博社和 FactSet 的综合调查数据:整体 CPI 预计将环比上涨 0.3%,同比上涨 2.7%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源后的核心 CPI 预计将环比上涨 0.3%,同比上涨 2.7%。

尽管克利夫兰联储的 Nowcast 模型给出的预测略低(核心 CPI 环比增长 0.22%),但华尔街主流观点认为通胀并未显著降温。芝商所(CME Group)数据显示,市场押注美联储在 1 月维持利率不变的概率高达 95%。

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