US Economic Data 2025: Must-Watch Events for Crypto Market Trends

Key Insights:

  • As the crypto markets veer into a low liquidity scenario in 2025, a close look at US Fed meetings is necessary.
  • Policy rates dictate the liquidity flowing in and out of the crypto markets.
  • Lower interest rates give way to bull rallies while higher ones stop the market growth.
  • The key aspect that leads to change in interest rates is inflation.
  • Other than inflation, manufacturing data, and US jobs data also play a critical role in the crypto market's rise and fall.

Interest Rate Meetings

Interest rates have been playing a key role in crypto-economics. Reducing interest rates from central banks releases more money into the markets and makes debt cheaper. This then leaves more money in the hands of the retail buyer, allowing them to buy more stocks, crypto, and bonds to save for the future.

It also drives more consumption in the markets and benefits crypto-native projects like blockchain games.

At a time when there is global uncertainty due to low economic growth, interest rates play a critical role in stabilizing economies.

The following policy rate meetings are scheduled by the US Federal Reserve.

  • March: 18 to 19
  • May: 6 to 7
  • June: 17 to 18
  • July: 29 to 30
  • September: 16 to 17
  • October: 28 to 29
  • December: 9 to10

GDP Data Release Dates

GDP Data is used to estimate the performance of financial markets like crypto and stocks. A higher GDP data than the previous quarter often shows that there is decent liquidity in the crypto markets and a slowdown might not last long. On the other hand, declining GDP data shows that the markets could see more tough times ahead.

  • March 27, 2025: Q4 and all-year GDP of 2024
  • March 28, 2025: GDP by State and Personal Income by State and all year data for 2024.

Economic Activity Data Release

Another few data sets that show economic activity in a country is Manufacturing data and Inflation.

From the crypto market perspective, manufacturing data shows how much industrial growth has happened in the economy. Higher industrial growth corresponds to more income and hence more buying in the crypto markets. While lower manufacturing data signals that due to low income, people might sell their crypto holdings and cover costs.

Similarly, in the case of Inflation Rates, higher inflation means costs are rising and hence the markets might experience selling. At such times, people redeem their crypto savings to cover rising costs. Similarly, falling interest rates reduce interest rates and leave more money at the hands of people.

Inflation

The list below shows the measured month on the left-hand side and the inflation data release date on the right-hand side.

Data for the Month of: To Be Released On

  • March 2025: Apr. 10, 2025
  • April 2025: May 13, 2025
  • May 2025: Jun. 11, 2025
  • June 2025: July 15, 2025
  • July 2025: Aug. 12, 2025
  • August 2025: Sep. 11, 2025
  • September 2025: Oct. 15, 2025
  • October 2025: Nov. 13, 2025
  • November 2025: Dec. 10, 2025

US Jobs Data

The impact of US Jobs data on crypto markets is profound and unique. It is the only metric that impacts the markets positively, irrespective of positive or negative data. Better job data helps the market rise as more people get paid and can invest. Low jobs data also have a good impact on the markets as the US Fed is forced to raise interest rates, which also helps the markets rally.

In the USA, the jobs data is titled the non-farm payrolls, which include all types of jobs except the US agricultural jobs. The release schedule for this metric for the year 2025 is:

  • March 2025 : 7 March 2025
  • April 2025 : 4 April 2025
  • May 2025 : 2 May 2025
  • June 2025 : 6 June 2025
  • July 2025 : 3 July 2025
  • August 2025 : 1 August 2025
  • September 2025: 5 September 2025
  • October 2025 : 3 October 2025
  • November 2025 : 7 November 2025
  • December 2025 : 5 December 2025

Data is essential in understanding the current economic situation as well as understanding the course of economics over the near and long term. GDP and Manufacturing data shows the current state of the economy while prevailing interest rates show how the economy might behave in the near term.

Disclaimer: Voice of Crypto aims to deliver accurate and up-to-date information but will not be responsible for any missing facts or inaccurate information. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile financial assets, so research and make your own financial decisions.

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The content is for reference only, not a solicitation or offer. No investment, tax, or legal advice provided. See Disclaimer for more risks disclosure.
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