金十数据3月17日讯,美联储本周发布的最新经济预测,将提供迄今为止最切实的证据,表明美联储官员如何看待特朗普政府政策可能产生的影响。顶级预测人士下调了对今年经济增长的预期,提高了经济衰退的预期风险,并预计,随着特朗普对进口商品征收的新关税影响到全球市场,通胀将会上升。从一些政策制定者所称的稳定增长和风险平衡的 “甜蜜点 ”开始,随着预测的不确定性增加和股市的暴跌,更困难的情况突然出现了。美国银行首席经济学家Beth Ann Bovino表示,随着经济继续增长,通胀率降至美联储2%的目标,“软着陆”仍有可能实现。不过,我们开始看到一些冲击以及贸易战的可能性,消费者预期显示出对衰退和通胀的担忧。情况虽然还不算难看,但冲击已经开始累积。
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