金十数据2月27日讯,国金证券指出,未来需重点关注央行流动性管理节奏、外资机构行为变化以及地缘政治的调整方向,以上因素或将主导熊猫债票面利率的短期波动与中长期趋势。从国际形势看,特朗普重返白宫后,关税政策落地不及预期,近期披露的宏观数据疲弱,中长期美债收益率回落,美联储降息预期再次升温。另一方面DeepSeek技术突破推动A股科技股价值重估,主流外资机构看多情绪浓厚,多重因素叠加推动此轮人民币阶段升值行情。若人民币升值行情得以延续,外资持有熊猫债的实际回报将因汇率走强而提升,人民币资产的“避险+升值”双重属性可能吸引更多长期配置型资金。
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