道明证券:建议做多10年期美国国债 当前收益率具有吸引力

GoldenOctober2024

金十数据1月11日讯,道明证券策略师建议投资者建立10年期美国国债的多头头寸,因为当前水平“具有吸引力”,而且美国经济增长预计将在下半年放缓。分析师称道明证券在4.74%处建立10年期美债多头头寸,目标位4.30%,止损位5.05%;交易规模为5万美元DV01。虽然面临着重大风险,并且近期内的经济数据可能会受到上行残余季节性因素的影响,但不认为美国经济或通胀正在加速,并认为在4.50-5%区间的10年期收益率具有吸引力。道明证券预计以下情况才能推动收益率走高:市场消化美联储加息的情境,策略师认为这种可能性很低;财政政策进一步扩张,鉴于共和党人在众议院仅占微弱多数,其程度应有限;关税水平高于市场目前预期。

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