2月10日消息,Dogecoin(DOGE)延续弱势整理,当前价格约0.095美元,日内下跌1.46%,周跌幅扩大至8.03%。在冲高至0.15美元后,DOGE进入明显的下降通道,最低一度触及0.08美元,随后小幅反弹,但整体结构仍偏空。
部分加密分析师认为,DOGE可能已接近长期上升通道下轨。该观点基于历史周期:2017年DOGE在300天内上涨约9200%,上一轮周期在154天内涨幅更高。若价格持续低于0.10美元,或意味着阶段性底部正在形成,随后有望回测0.30美元区域。
然而,链上与市场数据呈现出更谨慎的信号。“供需区域”模型显示,0.09美元附近存在明显的供应压力,抛售在该区间集中。买卖主导指标表明,卖方交易量约54亿枚,明显高于买方的28亿枚,且买方已连续多日处于劣势。
动量指标同样偏弱。DOGE的RSI降至31,接近熊市区间,方向性运动指数仅6.3,显示趋势强度不足。分析师VisionPulsed指出,社交媒体上的乐观情绪仍在发酵,这往往意味着真正的恐慌尚未出现,价格可能还有进一步回落空间。他预计,若出现下一轮快速下探,DOGE或测试0.05美元。
从更长周期看,VisionPulsed认为真正的强势反转可能在2027年后才会显现,当前阶段更像是大趋势中的修复区间。短期内,0.10美元构成上方压力,而0.09美元附近仍是多空博弈的核心区域。对关注Dogecoin价格预测的投资者而言,当前行情仍需警惕波动放大的风险。
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