美股创高位之际 企业盈利预期乐观情绪降温

金十数据10月13日讯,在美股徘徊于纪录高位之际,分析师对企业盈利的乐观情绪正在降温,显示本轮行情在财报季中可能遭遇阻力。花旗集团追踪美国企业盈利预期调整的指数(衡量上调与下调预测数量之比)近期首次自8月以来转为持平。同时,标普500指数的远期市盈率达22倍,高于过去十年平均水平近19倍。Evercore ISI策略师Julian Emanuel指出,财报季的股价反应预计将“剧烈分化”,难以成为推动指数上行的催化剂,当前市场估值“几乎已反映完美预期”。RBC资本市场策略师Lori Calvasina表示,与上季度相比,本季企业超预期盈利的比例预计将放缓,因为关税带来的冲击更大,“对于市值最大的公司而言,盈利情绪正处在关键转折点。”

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