In October 2025, the Crypto Assets market will once again welcome the so-called "Uptober" trend, but market movements may show a pattern of initially suppressing and then rising.

According to the latest on-chain data analysis, the realized value ratio (RVT) of short-term Bitcoin holders has declined. This phenomenon may be due to investors who increased their holdings in late summer beginning to take profits, thus creating some selling pressure. Technical indicators further suggest that Bitcoin may face a correction to around $105,000, while Ethereum may drop to close to the $3,800 region.

However, historical data provides some comfort for bullish investors. Statistics show that the probability of Bitcoin achieving positive returns in October is as high as 73%, with an average increase reaching 29%. This historical performance undoubtedly injects a strong dose of confidence into the market.

Market analysts generally believe that a short-term pullback may actually serve to cleanse overconfident bulls and pave the way for a subsequent rebound. They expect Bitcoin to challenge highs of $150,000 to $180,000 in late October, while Ethereum could potentially hit new highs of $8,000 to $12,000.

Nevertheless, investors should remain cautious about market trends and closely monitor the potential impacts of global macroeconomic conditions, regulatory policy changes, and technological innovations on the Crypto Assets market. While there are many opportunities, it is also crucial to fully recognize the high-risk characteristics of the Crypto Assets market and to implement proper risk management and asset allocation.