三菱日联:欧洲央行将强调经济增长风险,不太可能发出新信号

GoldenOctober2024
COOK-1,29%

金十数据4月16日讯,三菱日联欧洲经济研究主管Henry Cook在一份报告中表示,欧洲央行在周四会议上的声明可能会包含“温和的鸽派调整”,可能会强调欧元区增长面临的风险。周四的降息看起来是一个直截了当的决定,6月份可能也是如此。然而,鉴于贸易政策和新财政刺激时机的高度不确定性,欧洲央行不太可能发出太多新的政策信号。在欧元区经济硬数据没有出现更明确转变的情况下,政策制定者可能希望保持很大的灵活性。预计欧洲央行今年还将降息三次,存款利率将降至1.75%。

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