日本央行前审议委员:央行可能在 7 月前加息,基础通胀率已达 2% 目标

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Gate News 消息,4 月 7 日,日本央行前政策委员会审议委员安达诚司周二表示,日本央行很可能在 7 月前加息,因中东战争导致石油成本飙升,加大了央行在应对日益增长的通胀压力方面落后于曲线的风险。安达诚司指出,基础通胀率已达到央行 2% 的目标,上周的短观调查显示,企业五年期通胀预期达到 2.5%。他表示,伊朗战争导致的油价飙升和供应限制,为央行很快将其短期政策利率从目前的 0.75% 上调提供了更多理由。安达诚司称,“日本央行最好尽快将利率上调至对经济中性的水平”,并补充说,日本的中性利率可能在 1.25% 左右。但他同时表示,4 月加息的可能性"占 50%",因伊朗战争使市场保持波动,并使日本脆弱的经济前景变得模糊。

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