2026 年 Q1 预测市场交易额达 18.7 亿美元,政治类主题占据主导地位

Gate News 消息,4 月 6 日,据 CryptoRank 数据,2026 年第一季度预测市场中政治类主题交易量占比最大,体育类仅占极小份额。交易量居首的五大标的依次为:「2026 年超级碗冠军:西雅图获胜」(交易额 7.04 亿美元,发行时胜出概率 0.8%)、「特朗普美联储主席提名:凯文·沃什」(交易额 6.17 亿美元,发行时胜出概率 34.0%)、「2026 年 3 月美联储决定:维持不变」(交易额 2.6 亿美元,发行时胜出概率 57.5%)、「美国政府于 1 月 31 日前停摆:是」(交易额 1.57 亿美元,发行时胜出概率 28.5%)及「葡萄牙总统选举:安东尼奥·何塞·塞古罗」(交易额 1.36 亿美元,发行时胜出概率 9.5%)。数据来源为 CryptoRank.io 与某预测市场平台。

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