MICA Daily|ETH 波動率繼續躺平,跌至去年一月以來最低

ETH3,96%

幣安的 ETH 的 30 天實現「波動率指數」顯示,市場進入明顯的沉寂期,數值已降至約 0.62,為 2025 年 1 月以來的最低水平,這一跌幅反映了價格波動的顯著減少,以及近期交易時段內投機活動的減弱。

同時,Z-Score 波動率錄得 -0.43,表明當前的波動水平低於歷史平均值,並證實了與前幾個月相比,市場正經歷一段異常平靜的時期。從歷史上看,當 Z-Score 進入負值區域,反映了短期風險的降低,但往往預示著隨後會出現強勁的價格走勢。 低波動期通常是重大價格變動的前奏,因為活動的減少使得壓力在突破發生前得以累積。隨著 ETH 的實現波動率達到 2026 年初以來的最低點,短期內出現顯著波動的可能性有所增加,特別是若這一時期伴隨著交易量或流動性的突然激增。

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