Cardano Faces $9.9M Liquidation Risk as ADA Hovers Near Key Support

Key Insights

• Cardano trades between key liquidation clusters, with $9.93 million in long positions vulnerable near $0.253, creating immediate downside pressure risk.

• On-chain data show realized losses dropped by nearly 77%, yet the metric remains negative, confirming continued distribution and weak recovery momentum.

• Strong resistance between $0.2856 and $0.300 continues to block rallies, while short liquidations above create upside potential if the price breaks higher.

Cardano traded near $0.264 on March 21, holding just above a dense liquidation zone that could trigger nearly $9.93 million in long liquidations if the price slips about four percent to $0.253. Moreover, this setup places the asset between opposing leverage clusters, shaping a near-term liquidity contest.

Santiment data show realized losses have narrowed sharply since early March, when network losses peaked at roughly 44 million ADA at the latest price bottom. However, recent readings around 10 million ADA still reflect net losses across the network, indicating that sellers remain active despite reduced pressure.

Distribution Phase Continues to Weigh

Additionally, the realized profit and loss metric has not returned to positive territory, which keeps the market in a distribution phase. Consequently, holders continue to realize losses instead of gains, limiting strong buying momentum and slowing any sustained recovery attempts.

The liquidation map highlights a concentrated long exposure below current levels, with the largest cluster sitting near $0.254. Significantly, this level aligns with nearly $9.93 million in leveraged positions, making it an attractive target if the price weakens further.

Upside Liquidity Requires Strong Breakout

On the other hand, short liquidation pressure builds above $0.277 and extends toward $0.300, where cumulative exposure reaches about $20.89 million. However, clearing this zone requires a stronger rally and a firm break above the $0.2856 resistance level that has capped recent price attempts.

Source: TradingView

Cardano continues to face repeated rejection within the $0.2856 to $0.3004 range, where prior rallies have failed quickly. Moreover, the latest attempt in mid-March reversed sharply, reinforcing this zone as a firm ceiling for near-term price action.

Support Levels Define Next Moves

Below current levels, immediate support sits near $0.2697, followed by $0.2547 and $0.2438. Hence, a move into the liquidation cluster could push the price toward lower support, though it would not necessarily signal a full breakdown.