Gate News 消息，3 月 23 日，Polymarket"美国将在 3 月 31 日前进入伊朗"预测事件中，一新创建地址（0x842ac0abb64acddb573b459a8f58f77e123092f5）以 88.4¢ 价格购入约 10 万美元"不会"方向头寸，对应约 11.3 万份 shares。当前该仓位价值约 10 万美元，浮盈约 70 美元，对应最新价格约 88.5¢。
该事件基于近期美伊局势持续演变背景展开。特朗普此前表示将推迟对伊朗军事打击，并称双方对话取得进展；但伊朗方面随后否认存在任何谈判，并称相关言论为"心理战"，区域局势仍存不确定性。
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Articoli correlati
Polymarket Prediction Market Outperforms Wall Street Analysts in Earnings Forecasts, Study Shows
A study by Wolfe Research reveals that anonymous bettors on the Polymarket platform may predict corporate earnings more accurately than Wall Street analysts, with significant accuracy for both optimistic and pessimistic bets. Despite potential, these prediction markets account for a small trading volume.
GateNews4h fa
Kalshi Launches Parental Portal and AI Verification to Combat Underage Misuse of Prediction Market
Kalshi is introducing a parental portal for identity verification and selfie authentication to prevent minors from bypassing age restrictions. This follows scrutiny over its compliance with prediction market regulations amid ongoing lawsuits.
GateNews17h fa
Prediction Market Trading Volume Expected to Exceed $1 Trillion by 2030, Bernstein Report Highlights
Bernstein's report forecasts prediction market trading volume will surge from $51 billion in 2025 to $1 trillion by 2030, driven by regulatory clarity, blockchain support, and mainstream integration. Industry revenue is expected to rise from $400 million to $10.8 billion, with retail brokerages gaining a competitive edge.
GateNews04-15 13:16
Trader with 100% Win Rate Bets $12.3K That MicroStrategy Will Hold Over 1M BTC by Year-End
A trader known as epsteinfiles has placed a $12,300 bet with Lookonchain, predicting that MicroStrategy will hold over 1 million BTC by December 31, 2026, with a flawless track record in past bets.
GateNews04-15 03:33
鼓勵創新！美法官禁止亞利桑那州監管預測市場，暫停對Kalshi起訴
美國聯邦地方法院裁定禁止亞利桑那州依賴博弈法起訴預測市場平台Kalshi，認為聯邦商品期貨交易委員會擁有專屬管轄權。該裁決影響金融市場監管的州與聯邦權限界線，Kalshi則堅持其業務屬於金融商品而非傳統博彩。各州對預測市場的裁定不一，川普家族亦表達對預測市場的支持。
CryptoCity04-15 02:43
