两个聪明钱地址投入 9700 美元,押注美国今年不会入侵伊朗

Gate News 消息,3 月 20 日,某预测市场平台数据显示,两个政治事件预测高胜率地址共投入 9700 美元,在「美军是否会在今年入侵伊朗」事件中买入「否」,目前该事件「否」概率为 40%。

该平台对「入侵」事件的判定标准为:美国发动一场旨在控制伊朗任何一部分领土的军事进攻,与「袭击」或「美军入境」不同。

今日在白宫会见日本首相高市早苗时,特朗普被记者追问是否会派遣美军地面部队前往伊朗,特朗普回应称「我不会把军队放到任何地方」,并强调对伊朗继续打击卡塔尔时的远程报复威胁。

美国国防部长赫格塞思在五角大楼记者会上重申美军目标:摧毁伊朗导弹发射能力、打击其国防工业和海军,并阻止其获得核武器。他还专门反驳了外界关于美国正滑向「无尽战争」、「泥潭」的说法。

根据交易画像分析,该交易者并非押注事件是否实际发生,存在开仓后在某一时间点止盈、止损的行为。涉及账户地址为:0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71 和 0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8。

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